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Markets · Deals · Perspective

U.S. Real Estate Journal

Independent coverage of American real estate, written by people who close deals.
Data graphic showing a $1 billion nonprofit pledge for Detroit’s 35-acre riverfront district and 18 acres of planned public space
Perspectives · Lead Story

Detroit’s $1 Billion Riverfront Gift Shows What Turnaround Markets Really Lack

Dan Gilbert’s nonprofit pledge for the Renaissance Center and East Riverfront shows that in turnaround markets, the missing pieces are patient capital and public financing, not ideas.

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Data graphic showing 1.4 million housing permits against 1.19 million completions in September and JLL’s 3% to 6% annual construction cost growth baseline
Perspectives

Builders Are Permitting but Not Finishing, and the Cost Clock Keeps Running

September data shows 1.4 million permits against 1.19 million completions, while JLL says 3% to 6% annual cost growth is the new baseline, which makes waiting for lower rates an expensive bet.

Data graphic showing 49 registered 485-x projects at exactly 99 units and a projected 6.1% yield on cost at 99 units versus 5.2% at 150 units
Perspectives

New York’s 99-Unit Ceiling Shows the Tax Code Is Now the Architect

New York’s latest 485-x filings show developers stopping one apartment short of stricter rules, and the math explains why the city keeps getting smaller buildings than its land can hold.

Data graphic showing Florida’s proposed homestead exemption rising from $50K to $250K by 2028 and 85 cities unable to fully fund public safety
Perspectives

Florida’s Homestead Tax Cut Doesn’t Make Housing Cheaper, It Moves the Bill

Amendment 3 would cut bills for established Florida owners, but the cost lands on renters, newcomers, and local services in a state already losing its migration edge.

Data graphic showing 229% growth in renter households earning $1 million or more from 2020 to 2024 and a 7.40% average 30 year mortgage rate
Perspectives

Millionaires Are Renting by Choice, and That Tells Us Who the Market Serves

RentCafe counts more than three times as many million dollar renter households as in 2020, a small group that explains a lot about optionality, capital, and a split housing market.

Data graphic showing regulatory costs at 26.4% of a new home's price and a national housing shortage of 4.03 million homes
Perspectives

Faster Permits and Robot Factories Help, but the Lot Is Still the Bottleneck

Bloomberg's grants to 30 city halls and D.R. Horton's robotics deal each attack a real cost of building a home, and both leave the hardest one untouched.

Data graphic showing 79% of site selectors ranking electric power as a top location factor and 61,591 MW of PJM generation flagged as possibly unavailable during the October grid emergency
Perspectives

Power Is the New Zoning, and Most Land Underwriting Has Not Caught Up

Site selectors now rank electricity above labor, and a grid emergency covering 67 million people shows why the megawatt has become the scarcest input in land.

Data graphic showing 69% of Texas agents reporting buyers faced no rival offers and 4.3% of Houston rental listings being homes pulled from sale
Perspectives

Texas Built Its Way to a Buyer’s Market, and the Accidental Landlords Are the Fine Print

Bidding wars have mostly vanished across Texas while Houston leads the nation in sellers turning landlord, a split that rewards supply and punishes the 2022 to 2024 buyer.

Data graphic showing CRE values 12.8% below their 2022 peak and $31.6 billion of bridge loans placed into CRE CLOs through August 2026
Perspectives

The Bridge Loan Bet Is on the Wrong Side of Higher for Longer

Green Street shows the CRE price recovery stalling as the 10-year holds above 5%, while owners keep rolling floating rate bridge debt and betting that rates blink first.

Data graphic showing 21.6% of middle-income renters behind on rent in 2025 and a 13,000 unit apartment supply gap, the smallest since 2015
Perspectives

The Rent Squeeze Is Climbing the Income Ladder Just as the Supply Cushion Runs Out

Middle-income renters are falling behind even after three years of softer asking rents, and the apartment supply wave that made those rents possible is now fading.

Data graphic showing 369 jurisdictions weighing golf course housing redevelopment and the 5,000 square foot lot proposed under Massachusetts Question 7
Perspectives

The Next Starter Homes Are Hiding on Golf Courses and Small Lots

A city golf course sale in Virginia Beach and a lot size ballot question in Massachusetts show that the housing shortage is a land and entitlement problem first.

Data graphic showing the 7.28% average 30 year mortgage rate and a 27.1% annual drop in housing completions
Perspectives

Seven Percent Mortgages Are Back, and the Supply Problem Is Next

A quarter point weekly jump in the 30-year rate is a buyer problem this fall, but the bigger cost of higher long rates is the housing that never gets financed.

Undeveloped land parcel and site work at a Kaufman & Company development
Perspectives

Why We’re Buying Land, Not Building, in This Part of the Cycle

Kaufman & Company’s President & CIO on why the platform is running its land pipeline harder than its construction pipeline right now, and what has to change before that flips back.

Modular housing units under construction
Perspectives

What Lean Six Sigma Taught Me About Modular Construction Timelines

Oldivai Capital’s COO, a Lean Six Sigma Black Belt, on applying manufacturing-floor discipline to a modular housing schedule, and where most operators still let variance creep back in.

A residential community developed by the Kaufman & Company platform
Perspectives

The Entitlement Process Is the Real Underwriting: What Kills Deals in Zoning

Kaufman & Company’s General Counsel on why the spreadsheet is the easy part, and the planning department is where most deals actually live or die.

Active construction site on a Kaufman & Company development
Perspectives

Private Credit Has Quietly Replaced the Regional Bank for Mid-Market Developers

Kaufman & Company’s CFO on a structural shift in construction and bridge financing that most sponsors under $50M in annual originations haven’t fully priced in yet.

Construction underway on a workforce housing development
Perspectives

What Emergency Medicine Taught Me About Underwriting Workforce Housing

Oldivai Capital’s CEO, a practicing emergency physician, on the diagnostic discipline he brought from the ER into real estate, and why housing instability shows up in his patients before it shows up in any market report.

A completed residential community developed by the Kaufman & Company platform
Perspectives

The Case for Fewer, Larger Positions: How We Think About Concentration Risk

Diversification is supposed to be free risk reduction. Kaufman & Company’s CIO argues that past a certain point, it just means owning more deals you understand less well.

A residential community developed by the Kaufman & Company platform
Perspectives

Ground Leases Are Having a Moment, and Most Sponsors Don’t Understand Why

Kaufman & Company’s General Counsel on the structural reasons ground leases are reappearing in deals that wouldn’t have considered them five years ago.

INVESTMENT INTEL
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On-the-ground investor reporting curated from KeyCrew’s real estate desk, market by market, deal by deal.

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INDUSTRY WIRE
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Deal announcements, launches, and groundbreakings across the Kaufman & Company platform and the wider industry.

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NATIONAL LAND WATCHLIST

LandBriefing Hot Spots

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A weekly read from LandBriefing, Daniel Kaufman’s National Land Opportunity Watchlist published by Kaufman Real Estate & Consulting, 14 metros scored for land-investment opportunity. Hover a marker for the read, click through for the full brief.

Caution / Wait Selective / Steady Buy Window
    MOUNTAIN RESORT REAL ESTATE

    LandBriefing Mountain Watch

    Visit Mountain Watch →

    A monthly read from LandBriefing, Daniel Kaufman’s tracker for land and housing opportunity across America’s mountain resort and gateway towns, scored by asset class — affordable housing, market rate, luxury, land, commercial, and hospitality. Hover a marker for the read, click through for the full breakdown.

    Caution / Wait Selective / Steady Buy Window
      Daniel Kaufman, real estate developer
      Daniel Kaufman
      Founder & Principal
      Founder’s Desk

      25+ Years, $2B+ Deployed, One Discipline: Underwrite the Downside First

      Daniel began his career building, lending, and investing in Detroit in 1992. He now leads Kaufman & Company, a permanent-capital holding company spanning ten operating companies, from workforce housing to data-center infrastructure, and writes on real estate and capital markets for the Journal, Substack, and Medium.

      25+
      Years in real estate
      $2B+
      Project value delivered
      10,000+
      Housing units developed
      10
      Operating companies
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